牛海鹏, 孙壹鸣. 农户土地承包经营权退出意愿影响因素及退出模式研究[J]. 农业工程学报, 2019, 35(11): 265-275. DOI: 10.11975/j.issn.1002-6819.2019.11.031
    引用本文: 牛海鹏, 孙壹鸣. 农户土地承包经营权退出意愿影响因素及退出模式研究[J]. 农业工程学报, 2019, 35(11): 265-275. DOI: 10.11975/j.issn.1002-6819.2019.11.031
    Niu Haipeng, Sun Yiming. Factors affecting farmers' willingness and mode of farmland usufruct abandonment for rural households land contractual operation right[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering (Transactions of the CSAE), 2019, 35(11): 265-275. DOI: 10.11975/j.issn.1002-6819.2019.11.031
    Citation: Niu Haipeng, Sun Yiming. Factors affecting farmers' willingness and mode of farmland usufruct abandonment for rural households land contractual operation right[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering (Transactions of the CSAE), 2019, 35(11): 265-275. DOI: 10.11975/j.issn.1002-6819.2019.11.031

    农户土地承包经营权退出意愿影响因素及退出模式研究

    Factors affecting farmers' willingness and mode of farmland usufruct abandonment for rural households land contractual operation right

    • 摘要: 农村土地承包经营权退出的战略价值日益凸显,使得探索农村土地承包经营权退出的实践应运而生。为考查影响农户土地承包经营权退出决策的因素,基于河南省郑州市、周口市607份农户问卷,采用Logistic模型从农户个体特征、资源禀赋、土地承包经营权退出能力及预期风险水平、认知状况角度对不同样本区域农户的土地承包经营权退出意愿影响因素进行实证分析,并对可能存在的内生性问题进行了讨论;同时,为考察各地土地承包经营权退出实践的适用度,系统分析了研究区农户在"平罗模式""梁平模式""内江模式"和"成都模式"4种模拟情景下的退出意愿和模式选择取向。结果显示:1)农户土地承包经营权退出意愿受农户自身状况、资源禀赋、土地承包经营权退出能力及风险预期、认知水平的影响显著。变量性别、住宅与最近县城间距离、常年居住地、城镇定居计划、收入来源分化、土地重要性感知等显著正向影响农户土地承包经营权退出意愿,变量受教育程度、家庭总人数、预期风险程度、种地意愿等显著负向影响农户土地承包经营权退出意愿。2)区域发展非均衡性下,影响典型农村和城乡接合部区域农户土地承包经营权退出意愿的因素不尽相同。3)在运用CMP方法控制可能存在的内生性问题后,变量风险程度预估对农户土地承包经营权退出意愿的影响依然显著。4)研究区农户对四川内江和重庆梁平的土地承包经营权退出模式接受度较高,而对宁夏平罗和成都温江区的退出模式接受度较低。

       

      Abstract: The strategic value of farmland usufruct abandonment is becoming more and more prominent, which makes the practice of exploring farmland usufruct abandonment come into being. It is not only the government's guidance but also the farmers participation and decision-making that are needed to invigorate the farmland usufruct. In order to investigate the factors that affect the decision of the farmer's farmland usufruct abandonment, we obtain 607 questionnaire survey and interview data of rural households in 33 villages in Zhengzhou and Zhoukou of Henan Province in April ,2018.This paper uses Logistic regression model to explore influence mechanisms of influencing factors on the individual and family characteristics of farmers, resource endowment, ability of abandoning the farmland usufruct, risk estimation of abandoning the farmland usufruct, and cognitive level, which influence the willingness of farmers to abandon the farmland usufruct from different sample areas (taking total sample as a whole, typical rural and urban-rural interface). The possible endogenous problems are also discussed. At the same time, in order to examine the applicability of the farmland usufruct abandonment in various places, This paper systematically analyzes the intention and mode selection orientation of farmers in the study area under the four simulated scenarios of "Pingluo mode", "Liangping mode", "Neijiang mode" and "Chengdu mode". The results show that: 1) The intention of the farmer's farmland usufruct abandonment is markedly influenced by the farmer's own situation, resource endowment, ability to abandon the farmland usufruct, risk expectation, and cognitive level. Variables like respondents' gender, skill status, village cadre experience, land transfer status, distance between the nearest county, perennial place of residence, urban settlement plan, income source differentiation, whether has pension insurance or not ,land importance perception and legal cognition are significantly affecting the willingness of rural households to abandon farmland usufruct. Variables such as the level of education, the total number of families, the degree of expected risk, and the willingness to plant land have a significant negative impact on the willingness of farmers to abandon farmland usufruct. Farmers with better family conditions, poor resource endowment, high ability to abandon farmland usufruct, low expected risk, high level of cognition have a strong willingness to abandon farmland usufruct which may be the main groups of farmland usufruct abandonment. 2) Under the unbalanced development of the region, the factors affecting the withdrawal of the farmland usufruct of rural households in typical rural and urban-rural areas are not the same. 3) After using the CMP method to control possible endogenous problems, the influence of variable risk level estimation on the willingness of farmers to abandon farmland usufruct is still significant. However, the absolute value of the coefficient has decreased. This shows that if the endogenous problems are not considered, the impact of risk level estimation on the willingness of farmers to abandon farmland usufruct may be overestimated. 4) Farmers in the research area have higher acceptance of farmland usufruct abandonment mode of Neijiang and Liangping, and lower acceptance of the mode in Pingluo and Chengdu. Farmers are most concerned about compensation, matching social security and forms of abandonment. Based on the research conclusions, the paper proposes policy recommendations for optimizing the system of farmland usufruct abandonment from multiple angles.

       

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