张金鑫, 耿艺伟, 银超慧, 邓亚茹, 马月红, 陈伟强. 基于"潜力约束-概率抉择"的确权宅基地整治模拟[J]. 农业工程学报, 2022, 38(18): 264-273. DOI: 10.11975/j.issn.1002-6819.2022.18.029
    引用本文: 张金鑫, 耿艺伟, 银超慧, 邓亚茹, 马月红, 陈伟强. 基于"潜力约束-概率抉择"的确权宅基地整治模拟[J]. 农业工程学报, 2022, 38(18): 264-273. DOI: 10.11975/j.issn.1002-6819.2022.18.029
    Zhang Jinxin, Geng Yiwei, Yin Chaohui, Deng Yaru, Ma Yuehong, Chen Weiqiang. Simulation of confirmed homestead consolidation using "potential constraint- probability choice"[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering (Transactions of the CSAE), 2022, 38(18): 264-273. DOI: 10.11975/j.issn.1002-6819.2022.18.029
    Citation: Zhang Jinxin, Geng Yiwei, Yin Chaohui, Deng Yaru, Ma Yuehong, Chen Weiqiang. Simulation of confirmed homestead consolidation using "potential constraint- probability choice"[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering (Transactions of the CSAE), 2022, 38(18): 264-273. DOI: 10.11975/j.issn.1002-6819.2022.18.029

    基于"潜力约束-概率抉择"的确权宅基地整治模拟

    Simulation of confirmed homestead consolidation using "potential constraint- probability choice"

    • 摘要: 精准确定整治对象是有序推进宅基地整治的前提,也是实施全域土地综合整治的关键。该研究利用宅基地确权调查等多源数据,以行政村为单位,采用人均标准测算法、多因素综合评价法、系数修正法得到村级整治潜力,以地块尺度的确权宅基地图斑为基本整治单元,结合上位引导、现状驱动、意愿阻碍综合评价得到各确权地块的整治概率作为整治优先度的抉择标准,以豫东平原毛堌堆镇为研究区,分村、逐地块进行确权宅基地整治模拟的实证研究。结果表明:1)毛堌堆镇确权宅基地的理论整治潜力共计208.32 hm2,现实整治潜力为117.17 hm2,占现状确权宅基地面积的24.24%;2)整治概率小于0.5、0.5~0.6之间、0.6以上的确权宅基地分别占现状面积的54.60%、17.85%、27.55%;3)基于各村潜力约束,确权宅基地整治模拟共计选择4512个确权宅基地作为被整治单元,整治面积达117.79 hm2,其中,整治概率高于0.65的共计85.13 hm2。面向国土空间规划,以确权宅基地图斑为基本单元进行宅基地整治模拟,可以为全域土地综合整治的实施提供具体精确的决策参考。

       

      Abstract: Abstract: A precise object is the premise to orderly implement the homestead remediation of the whole land. Taking the administrative village as the unit, this study aims to investigate the confirmed homestead consolidation using "potential constraint- probability choice. The coefficient correction and multi-factor comprehensive evaluation were adopted to obtain the potential scale of homestead right confirmation consolidation. The economic, social, transportation, and land factors were comprehensively evaluated at the village level using multi-source survey data, such as land, homestead right confirmation, as well as social and economic survey. Taking the plot-scale homestead land as the basic renovation unit, the systematic evaluation was combined with the upper guidance, status driven, and willingness obstruction. The priority of the renovation unit was then selected from the consolidation probability of each land parcel with the right confirmation. The results showed that: (1) the gross average correlation coefficient was 0.580 1 for the homestead-construction land in the Maogudui town. A total of 56.25% of the potential theory of regulation was realized in the 208.32 hm2 confirmed homestead with the potential reality regulation of 117.17 hm2. Correspondingly, there was the decrease in the 24.24% current area of confirmed homestead. The spatial distribution of real remediation potential was generally obtained under the influence of location advantage and future land demand. The larger the potential was, the farther it was from the market town. (2) The probability of housing land consolidation was the main judgment criterion for the priority. The total area of homestead was lower with the high consolidation probability, in terms of the confirmed homestead area corresponding to different probability intervals. However, the priority of renovation with the high and low probability was determined to preserve or renovate the homestead. An optimal selection was then made, according to the specific village conditions. (3) The iterative selection of consolidation units was carried out in the different villages using the potential constraints of various villages. A total of 4 512 consolidation units were selected with a consolidation area of 117.79 hm2. The consolidation probability was greater than 0.5 in the selected units. Among them, the remediation units greater than 0.65 were a total area of 85.13hm2, accounting for 72.27% of the target area. Therefore, the connectedness of spatial distribution in the regulated units, the priority of the hollowing and the non-central village area were beneficial to enhance the management efficiency and the cultivated land scale for the optimization of cultivated land resource. At the same time, the priority renovation of non-central villages was conducive to the planning objectives in the development of focused villages. In conclusion, the land-scale consolidation simulation can directly take the homestead land as the basic unit, corresponding to the owner of land tenure under the Spatial Planning of National Land. The finding can provide the specific and accurate decision-making reference to implement the comprehensive land consolidation in the planning period.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回