王禾军, 邓飞其. 基于模糊最小二乘支持向量机的区域粮食安全性预警分析[J]. 农业工程学报, 2011, 27(5): 190-194.
    引用本文: 王禾军, 邓飞其. 基于模糊最小二乘支持向量机的区域粮食安全性预警分析[J]. 农业工程学报, 2011, 27(5): 190-194.
    Wang Hejun, Deng Feiqi. Analysis on region grain security warning based on fuzzy least squares support vector machines[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering (Transactions of the CSAE), 2011, 27(5): 190-194.
    Citation: Wang Hejun, Deng Feiqi. Analysis on region grain security warning based on fuzzy least squares support vector machines[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering (Transactions of the CSAE), 2011, 27(5): 190-194.

    基于模糊最小二乘支持向量机的区域粮食安全性预警分析

    Analysis on region grain security warning based on fuzzy least squares support vector machines

    • 摘要: 为提高区域粮食安全性预警精度,针对区域粮食安全预警数据的模糊特性,建立了采用清晰集合构造模糊集合法确定隶属度,采用混沌遗传算法优化参数的基于混沌遗传算法的模糊最小二乘支持向量机区域粮食安全预警模型。应用结果表明,基于混沌遗传算法的模糊最小二乘支持向量机区域粮食安全预警模型的预警相对误差小于2.0%,且区域粮食安全性的性能指标参数满足关系式:粮食自给率权重系数a1>人均粮食占有量权重系数a2>粮食单产水平权重系数a3>人均耕地权重系数a4>粮食生产波动系数权重系数a5。该研究结果可为区域粮食安全性预警分析快速有效地实现提供理论依据。

       

      Abstract: In order to enhance beforehand alarm precision on region grain security, due to the fuzzy speciality of beforehand alarm analysis on region grain security, a new fuzzy least squares support vector machines beforehand alarm model of region grain security based on chaos genetic algorithm is developed, in which the fuzzy membership function is set by using of clear sets to construct a fuzzy set and its parameters is optimized by using of chaos genetic algorithm. The application results revealed that beforehand alarm relative errors of the beforehand alarm model were less than 2.0%, and the connection of capability index parameters for region grain security can be expressed as: weight coefficient a1 of grain self- sufficiency rate > weight coefficient a2 of per capita share of grain > weight coefficient a3 of grain production levels> weight coefficient a4 of per capita arable land > weight coefficient a5 of fluctuation coefficient in grain production. Some theoretical evidence will be given for implementing beforehand alarm analysis on region grain security speedly and effectively by the research results.

       

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