潘 影, 宇振荣, 段增强, R.Doluschitz. 邻域距离对细胞自动机模型模拟土地利用变化精度的影响[J]. 农业工程学报, 2010, 26(3): 309-315.
    引用本文: 潘 影, 宇振荣, 段增强, R.Doluschitz. 邻域距离对细胞自动机模型模拟土地利用变化精度的影响[J]. 农业工程学报, 2010, 26(3): 309-315.
    Influence of neighborhood distance on simulation accuracy of cellular automata model in land use[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering (Transactions of the CSAE), 2010, 26(3): 309-315.
    Citation: Influence of neighborhood distance on simulation accuracy of cellular automata model in land use[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering (Transactions of the CSAE), 2010, 26(3): 309-315.

    邻域距离对细胞自动机模型模拟土地利用变化精度的影响

    Influence of neighborhood distance on simulation accuracy of cellular automata model in land use

    • 摘要: 细胞自动机原理广泛应用于土地利用变化空间模拟。邻域距离是细胞自动机模型的主要参数,但在以往研究中讨论较少。该研究利用土地利用变化模型(CLUE-S)邻域模拟模块,以北京市密云县1991-2004年的土地利用变化模拟为例,研究了模型中不同邻域距离参数对土地利用空间变化模拟精度的影响。基于1991年真实土地利用数据,选择200、400、600、1 000和1 200 m的邻域距离在两种邻域形状下分别模拟了2004年土地利用空间分布。通过2004年实际土地利用空间数据和模拟数据比较,利用kappa系数评价模拟结果精度。结果表明,在两种邻域形状下,邻域距离的变化对模拟结果精度都有较大影响。环状邻域距离的增大会导致模拟精度的降低,面状邻域距离的增大则导致模拟精度先增后降。不同土地类型对邻域距离变化的敏感程度和反应皆不相同。今后在土地利用变化模型应用中,对细胞自动机模型的验证过程中需考虑对邻域距离的研究和讨论。

       

      Abstract: Simulation of land use change is often based on cellular automata (CA) modeling theory. The aspect of distances which is in authors' opinion the major parameter in a cellular automata has not been sufficiently discussed. In this paper, neighborhood module of CLUE-S model was used to simulate the land use change of Miyun County, Beijing from 1991 to 2004 and the simulating precision variation was analyzed due to the parameter of neighborhood distance change. Two types of neighborhood with six different distances, 200, 400, 600, 800, 1 000, 1 200 m, were applied to the model CLUE-S to simulate land use changes. The kappa indexes investigation of different simulation results depicted that the model precision was sensitive to the neighborhood distance and different land types had different sensitivities. The increase of distance in circle neighborhood will decrease the model precision, in the mean while the increase of distance in rectangle neighborhood will increase the precision first then decrease. In future researches of CA model applications a prior validation of neighborhood distances is recommended according to the above conclusion.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回