王永芳, 张继权, 马齐云, 朱萌. 21世纪初科尔沁沙地沙漠化对区域气候变化的响应[J]. 农业工程学报, 2016, 32(z2): 177-185. DOI: 10.11975/j.issn.1002-6819.2016.z2.024
    引用本文: 王永芳, 张继权, 马齐云, 朱萌. 21世纪初科尔沁沙地沙漠化对区域气候变化的响应[J]. 农业工程学报, 2016, 32(z2): 177-185. DOI: 10.11975/j.issn.1002-6819.2016.z2.024
    Wang Yongfang, Zhang Jiquan, Ma Qiyun, Zhu Meng. Response of aeolian desertification to regional climate change in Horqin sandy land at beginning of 21st century[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering (Transactions of the CSAE), 2016, 32(z2): 177-185. DOI: 10.11975/j.issn.1002-6819.2016.z2.024
    Citation: Wang Yongfang, Zhang Jiquan, Ma Qiyun, Zhu Meng. Response of aeolian desertification to regional climate change in Horqin sandy land at beginning of 21st century[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering (Transactions of the CSAE), 2016, 32(z2): 177-185. DOI: 10.11975/j.issn.1002-6819.2016.z2.024

    21世纪初科尔沁沙地沙漠化对区域气候变化的响应

    Response of aeolian desertification to regional climate change in Horqin sandy land at beginning of 21st century

    • 摘要: 利用2000-2013年生长季MODIS-NDVI 时间序列遥感数据和降水、气温、蒸发和风速等气象数据,研究21世纪初科尔沁沙地沙漠化动态变化及其对区域气候变化的响应关系。结果表明:21世纪初,科尔沁沙地沙漠化经历了逆转-发展-逆转的过程,轻度和中度沙漠化土地面积呈显著下降趋势,重度和极重度沙漠化土地面积呈下降趋势但不显著。未沙漠化土地主要分布在研究区西北部,轻度和中度沙漠化土地广泛分布在研究区南部、东部和北部,重度和极重度沙漠化土地主要分布在西南部。2000-2013年,科尔沁沙地降水量呈上升趋势,气温、蒸发量和起沙风日数呈下降趋势,斜率分别为8.34 mm/a、?0.04℃/a、?23.56 mm/a和 ?1.7 d/a,其中蒸发量和起沙风日数下降趋势较为显著;近14 a来,科尔沁沙地沙漠化主要受水热条件的影响,尤其是在2000-2005年、2009-2013年2个时期,降水增多、蒸发减少,区域气候较湿润,研究区沙漠化2次逆转;此外,沙漠化受气候影响具有地域差异性,受气候影响较大的地区主要集中在研究区东部和东南部地区。研究可为科尔沁沙地沙漠形成机理分析及沙漠化防治工作提供理论依据。

       

      Abstract: Abstract: Using time series MODIS-NDVI dataset in growing season from 2000 to 2013 and precipitation, temperature, evaporation and wind speed data, dynamic change of aeolian desertification and its response to regional climate change in Horqin sandy land at the beginning of 21st century were studied in this paper. A dimidiate pixel model was chosen to calculate the vegetation coverage index (VCI), and aeolian desertification index (ADI) was established on the basis of negative correlation between VCI and aeolian desertification degree. Then, a classification system of ADI was developed by the decision tree method. In addition, linear regression was used for the temporal trend analysis of ADI and the selected climate factors. Mann-Kendall statistical test was used to estimate the significance of the trends. To reveal the effects of climate change on aeolian desertification further, this study analyzed the correlation between climate factors and aeolian desertified lands at an administrative scale using Pearson's correlation analysis method. The result showed that the aeolian desertification underwent a process of reversion-development-reversion in Horqin sandy land at the beginning of 21st century, among which the area of aeolian desertified lands decreased in periods from 2000 to 2005 and from 2009 to 2013 and increased from 2005 to 2009. The areas of slight and medium aeolian desertified lands changed in a significant downward trend. The areas of serious and extreme serious aeolian desertified lands changed in a non-significant downward trend. The non-aeolian desertified lands were mainly distributed in the northwest parts while the serious and extreme serious aeolian desertified lands were in the southwest parts of the study area. The slight and the medium aeolian desertified lands were wildly distributed in the northern, eastern and the southern parts of the study area. The precipitation was on the rise while the temperature, evaporation, and the windy days driving sand were on the decline with the trends slope of 8.34 mm/a、?0.04℃/a、?23.56 mm/a and ?1.7 d/a, respectively, among which the downward trends of evaporation and the windy days driving sand were significant. In spatial distribution, areas where the precipitation increased strongly were manly distributed in northeast and northern part while the areas where temperature decreased obviously were in the west and southeast of the study area. Areas where evaporation decreased significantly were distributed in the center and southeast part (around Horqin district and Jarud Banner) and that of windy days driving sand was in south, southeast and eastern part of the study area. Aeolian desertification in Horqin sandy land was mainly affected by hydrothermal condition, especially in the 2 periods of 2000-2005 and 2009-2013. The increase in precipitation and the reduction in evaporation made regional climate more humid, and the twice reverse of aeolian desertification. Reduction in evaporation was closely connected with the temperature decrease. Although the windy days driving sand declined significantly, it had little effect on aeolian desertification. In addition, climate impact on desertification had regional differences, and the areas where were affected by climate were mainly concentrated in the eastern and southeastern parts of the study area.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回