成渝试验区耕地利用转型对耕地利用生态效率的影响及阈值效应

    Impacts of farmland use transition on farmland use eco-efficiency and threshold effect in Chengdu-Chongqing Pilot Area

    • 摘要: 耕地利用转型是适应农业现代化发展的必然要求,耕地利用转型与生态效率的协同机制成为推动城乡融合可持续发展的重要路径。该研究以国家统筹城乡综合配套改革试验区为研究区,基于2005—2022年成渝试验区面板数据,采用基于麻雀搜索算法的投影寻踪模型(projection pursuit method based on sparrow search algorithm, SSA-PPM)、超效率SBM模型、阈值回归模型等方法,探讨耕地利用转型对耕地利用生态效率的影响作用。研究发现:1)2005—2022年,成渝试验区耕地利用转型总体上呈波动下降趋势,耕地利用生态效率总体呈上升趋势,空间上均表现为中间低四周高的圈层分异空间特征。2)耕地利用转型显著提高了耕地利用生态效率,影响系数从低分位到高分位为0.532~0.585,耕地利用数量转型、空间结构转型、生产功能转型和生态功能转型对耕地利用生态效率产生正向影响,并均在高分位条件下对耕地利用生态效率的正向影响最强,但受耕地资源条件及地形影响,成渝试验区的成渝两地分别在耕地利用隐性转型、显性转型上较为明显。3)成渝试验区的耕地利用转型对耕地利用生态效率的影响受城镇化水平的双阈值效应调节,门槛值分别为0.3610.751,重庆部分受财政支农水平的单阈值效应调节,门槛值为0.398,耕地利用转型对生态效率的促进作用均呈非线性减弱。研究结果为提高耕地利用效率,实现耕地可持续利用提供了科学依据。

       

      Abstract: Farmland use transition is often required in sustainable agriculture. An important path can be expected to balance the farmland use transition and eco-efficiency, in order to promote urban-rural integration. This study aims to explore the impact of the farmland use transition on the farmland use eco-efficiency and threshold effect in the Chengdu-Chongqing pilot Zone. The research area was taken from the national coordinated urban-rural comprehensive supporting reform pilot areas. The panel data were collected from the Chengdu-Chongqing pilot Zone from 2005 to 2022. Projection pursuit method based on sparrow search algorithm (SSA-PPM), super-efficiency SBM, Panel Quantile, and the threshold regression model were utilized to explore the impact of the farmland use transition on the farmland use eco-efficiency. The results found that: 1) The farmland use transition generally shared a fluctuating downward trend from 2005 to 2022, with the average decrease from 1.633 to 1.536. Meanwhile, the farmland use eco-efficiency exhibited an overall upward trend, with the average value rising from 0.688 to 0.711. The overall eco-efficiency value remained below 1. Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) results indicate that there was a relative inefficiency in the losses in the farmland use eco-efficiency. However, the number of DEA-efficient counties shared an upward trend, increasing from 4 in 2005 to 8 in 2022. Spatially, both the farmland use transition and eco-efficiency exhibited the zoned differentiation pattern of “low-to-medium efficiency in the center and high efficiency at the periphery.” High-value counties and districts were concentrated in areas rich in arable land resources surrounding, such as Tongnan, Hechuan, Tongliang, Jintang, and Jianyang. 2) The farmland use transition, along with its explicit and implicit transformations, also demonstrated a significant positive impact on the eco-efficiency, with the coefficients all exceeding 0.5. The transition of the arable land utilization significantly enhanced the eco-efficiency, with the impact coefficients ranging from 0.532 to 0.585 across low to high quantiles. There were positive effects on the eco-efficiency in the study area and parts of Chengdu, with the strongest positive impacts under high quantile conditions, including the quantitative transition, spatial structure transition, production and ecological function transition of the arable farmland. In the Chongqing portion, there was a monotonic decrease in the regression coefficients for the spatial structure and production function transition, particularly with the increasing quantiles. However, more pronounced latent and explicit transitions were observed in the arable farmland use in both Chengdu and Chongqing, due to the arable land resource conditions and topography. 3) There was a moderate influence of the farmland use transition on the farmland use eco-efficiency. The dual threshold effect of the urbanization level was presented with the threshold values of 0.361 and 0.751, respectively. In Chongqing and Chengdu, the positive impact of the farmland use transition on the eco-efficiency first declined and then increased as the urbanization levels continued. In the Chongqing part, it was moderated by the single threshold effect of the financial support for agriculture, with a threshold value of 0.398. The farmland use transition on the eco-efficiency was nonlinearly weakening. The findings can provide a scientific basis to effectively enhance the regional farmland use transition and eco-efficiency. Scientific guidance can also be offered for the regional urban-rural integration and green development.

       

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