南昌市土地利用建设性-平衡性-破坏性冲突识别及分区管控

    Identifying constructive-balanced-destructive conflicts and zoning control of land use in Nanchang City of China

    • 摘要: 精准识别土地利用空间冲突类型与特征,对于加强国土空间治理和推进高质量发展具有重要意义。该研究以南昌市为例,从建设性冲突视角出发,构建土地利用建设性-平衡性-破坏性冲突识别方法,然后结合冲突的“现状类型—历史状态”组合特征,进行空间冲突风险与管控分区,并提出相应的管控策略。结果表明:1)2010—2023年南昌市耕作强竞争力与生态中等竞争力范围整体呈缩减态势,但在2020年缩减态势放缓,建设中等竞争力扩张态势明显,呈现先放射、后扩张的发展模式;2)2010—2023年的冲突区总体不断扩张,但南昌市外围的冲突区存在碎片化的收缩趋势,高度冲突区分布数量呈现逐期上升趋势,以耕作与建设冲突为主,分布在中心城区的边缘地带,中度冲突区分布数量呈现逐期下降趋势,主要冲突类型为耕作与生态以及耕作与建设;3)2015—2023年建设性-平衡性-破坏性冲突类型以平衡性冲突为主,2015—2020年破坏性冲突呈现上升趋势,单元占比高于建设性冲突,到2023年建设性冲突分布数量明显增长,破坏性冲突分布数量明显下降,平衡性冲突在建设性-平衡性-破坏性冲突之间及冲突区与用地优势区之间的相互转化中起枢纽性作用;4)根据对不同建设性-平衡性-破坏性冲突现状与功能竞争力历史状态变化的分析,划分出格网尺度的5类风险分区与行政区尺度的3类管控分区,并提出管控策略。研究结果可为优化国土空间布局、加强国土空间治理和促进高质量发展提供科学依据。

       

      Abstract: Land-use spatial conflicts can be accurately identified for the territorial space and high-quality development in modern agriculture. Taking Nanchang City as a case study, this study aims to identify the constructive, balanced, and destructive land-use spatial conflicts, according to the relative state of the functional competitiveness. Furthermore, some features were also evaluated to distinguish between constructive and destructive conflicts in the land use. Subsequently, the combination features of the "present type-historical status" were integrated to assess the spatial conflict risk, particularly for the zoning control. The control strategies were proposed after assessment. The results demonstrate that: 1) A shrinking trend was observed in the overall scope of the areas with the strong competitiveness in the cultivation, and the medium competitiveness in the ecological functions, during the period from 2010 to 2023. This shrinking trend also slowed down in 2020. Meanwhile, an outstanding expansion trend was also found in the areas with the medium competitiveness after construction. A pattern of the initial radiation was presented followed by the subsequent expansion. 2) The conflict areas were generally expanded from 2010 to 2023. Nevertheless, the conflict areas on the outskirts shared the fragmented contraction. The number of the highly conflicted areas increased gradually over time. These highly conflicted areas were characterized by the conflicts between cultivation and construction, which were distributed along the fringes of the central urban area. The number of the moderately conflicted areas decreased gradually, where the conflict types were between cultivation and ecological functions, as well as between cultivation and construction. 3) The balanced conflicts were dominant among the constructive, balanced, and destructive conflict types from 2015 to 2023. The destructive conflicts showed an upward trend from 2015 to 2020. There was a higher proportion of the units, compared with the constructive conflicts. The number of the constructive conflicts increased significantly by 2023. While the number of the destructive conflicts decreased significantly. Balanced conflicts also played a pivotal role in the mutual transformation among constructive, balanced, and destructive conflicts, as well as between conflict areas and land-use advantages. 4) According to the current situation of the different constructive, balanced, destructive conflicts and the historical variations in the functional competitiveness, five types of the risk classification areas were defined at the grid scale, while three types of the management areas were found at the administrative region scale. Among the risk classification area, the prevention monitoring area was the zone currently in the dominant position, with the highest proportion of the grid numbers among the five zones. There were the relatively low proportions of the active maintenance area and the guide conversion area. The second and third highest proportions were the mitigation and the coordination governance area, respectively. In the management area, Anyi County, Donghu and Xinjian District were identified as the dynamic area, while Honggutan District, Jinxian County and Nanchang County were identified as the strict area, and Qingshanhu, Qingyunpu and Xihu District were identified as the emergency area. Finally, the conflict control strategies were proposed, according to the different areas of the risk classification. The land use spatial conflicts can be classified to determine the policy direction whether "mitigation" or "guidance". The finding can provide a scientific basis to optimize the layout of the territorial space for the high-quality development in modern agriculture.

       

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