基于环境变量和Sentinel-2多源数据融合的土壤盐分分布预测

    Predicting soil salinity distribution using the fusion of environmental variables and Sentinel-2 multi-source data

    • 摘要: 土壤盐渍化严重影响农业生产,是全球土壤退化的关键问题,对区域土壤盐渍化及时、精准地监测对于盐碱地改良和农业高质量发展尤为重要。针对光谱特征复杂等因素导致的遥感影像对土壤盐分预测精度不高的问题,该研究提出一种集成环境变量和Sentinel-2多源数据融合下的土壤盐分分布预测方法。以陕西省榆林市定边县和渭南市大荔县为研究区域,基于地面采样数据,对采样点的盐度分布进行了统计分析。通过机器学习建立环境变量与土壤全盐量之间的关系模型,采用交叉验证优化模型参数,推算出全盐量数据,得出拟合盐碱地范围;通过Sentinel-2多光谱信息,识别盐碱地范围,两者耦合分析得到不同盐渍化程度的盐碱地分布范围。结果表明,定边县和大荔县盐碱地土壤盐渍化程度均以重度盐渍化为主,样点个数分别占20.00%和22.45%。综合土壤全盐量与10个环境变量的相关性分析结果,pH值、蒸散发、降水量与土壤全盐量表现出显著相关性,相关系数分别为0.70、0.68和−0.72。基于归一化差异盐碱指数和土壤可渗透指数的阈值分割方法提取遥感盐碱地,准确率均达到85%。综合空间插值法、以点带面法、机器学习法和机器学习+遥感影像的模型预测结果与实测数据对比验证结果,基于环境变量的机器学习和遥感影像融合的模型显著提升定边县和大荔县不同盐渍化程度土壤面积和空间分布的预测精度,校正后平均绝对误差为0.82g/kg,均方根误差为1.21 g/kg,决定系数为0.85,远超单一模型的预测精度。综上,通过与典型盐分分布预测方法相比,该研究方法下盐渍化土地预测面积与历史数据高度贴合。该研究结果可为全国土壤全盐量实时动态监测和当地土地资源可持续利用提供有效的技术手段。

       

      Abstract: Soil salinization has caused soil degradation and the loss of arable land in modern agriculture. It is often required to accurately, timely, and spatially explicitly monitor the soil salinization at regional scales, particularly for crop production and the reclamation of saline-alkali lands in sustainable and high-quality agriculture. However, it is still lacking in the prediction of soil salinity using remote sensing imagery, due to the complex spectral features of the soils. In this study, the spatial distribution of the soil salinity was predicted with high accuracy, where the environmental variables were integrated with the multi-source Sentinel-2 remote sensing data. Two representative study areas were selected from Dingbian County in Yulin City, and Dali County in Weinan City, Shaanxi Province, China. Field sampling was conducted to collect the soil salinity data from multiple points over the study regions. Statistical analyses were performed to characterize the spatial distribution of the soil salinity at the sampling sites. Machine learning models were employed to establish quantitative relationships between environmental variables and total soil salt content. Model parameters were also optimized for the reliability of the prediction using cross validation. The total content of the soil salt was estimated using this framework. The saline-alkali lands were delineated with varying degrees of salinization. At the same time, Sentinel-2 multispectral imagery was utilized to extract the saline-alkali land information using specific spectral indices. The spatial severity of the soil salinization was mapped to fuse the environmental variables with the remote sensing-derived observations. Results indicate that the heavily saline soils were dominant in the saline-alkali lands of the Dingbian and Dali counties, thus accounting for approximately 20.00% and 22.45% of the total land area, respectively. Correlation analyses revealed that the soil pH, evapotranspiration, and precipitation also exhibited significant relationships with the total soil salt content, where the correlation coefficients were 0.70, 0.68, and -0.72, respectively, indicating the influence of the soil properties and climatic factors on the salinization. Saline-alkali lands were further extracted from the remote sensing imagery using threshold segmentation. The high classification accuracies of 85% were achieved for the normalized difference saline-alkali index and the soil permeability. A comparison was also made on the different prediction approaches—including spatial interpolation, point-to-area extrapolation, machine learning models, and the integrated machine learning plus remote sensing framework. The results also demonstrated that the integrated approach significantly enhanced the accuracy of the prediction in the area and spatial distribution of the soils with varying degrees of salinization. The mean absolute error was reduced to 0.82 g/kg after calibration, the root mean square error was 1.21 g/kg, and the coefficient of determination reached 0.85. The integrated model substantially outperformed the single-source prediction. Compared with the conventional soil salinity prediction, the high predictions of the saline-alkali land were closely aligned with the historical observations, indicating the reliability and practical applicability. Overall, environmental variables, field observations, and remote sensing data were integrated to support the evidence-based decision-making for the land reclamation and resource optimization, in order to mitigate the soil salinization impacts. These findings can provide a sound technical framework to real-time monitor the total soil salinity at the national scale. Valuable guidance can be offered for sustainable land planning in the salinization-prone regions.

       

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