基于物元可拓理论的河套灌区现代化建设水平评价及障碍因子诊断

    Evaluating modernization level to diagnose obstacle factors in Hetao Irrigation areas using matter-element extension theory

    • 摘要: 针对复杂运行环境下大型灌区现代化建设水平分级评价及障碍因子诊断问题,该研究构建了河套灌区现代化建设水平分级评价指标体系和指标分级标准,采用改进熵值法对评价指标赋权,应用物元可拓分析法对河套灌区现代化建设水平进行评价;参考SPA-VFS 耦合模型评价结果,验证该研究所用评价方法的合理性;引入障碍度模型,识别影响河套灌区现代化发展的关键障碍因子。结果表明:物元可拓分析法得出河套灌区现代化建设水平评价指标与指标等级综合关联度最大值为−0.191,依据最大综合关联度原则,其现代化建设水平评价等级为Ⅱ级;采用SPA-VFS 耦合模型计算得到河套灌区现代化建设水平评价等级为Ⅱ级,与该研究所采用的评价方法得到的评价结果一致,表明物元可拓理论用于河套灌区现代化建设水平评价合理可行;针对河套灌区现代化建设水平分级评价中多指标的特点,物元可拓分析法相对SPA-VFS 耦合模型的计算过程更为简便,更适宜河套灌区现代化建设水平评价;高效节水灌溉面积占比、灌溉水利用系数、单位面积灌溉用水量、闸门自动化远程监控覆盖率、万元农业增加值用水量、盐碱化面积占比、灌区排涝达标率和灌区供水保障率8个评价指标累计障碍度达60.84%,是目前影响河套灌区现代化建设的关键障碍因子。该研究方法可为内蒙古引黄灌区及西北地区类似灌区现代化建设水平评价提供参考。

       

      Abstract: Grading evaluation and obstacle factor diagnosis can greatly contribute to the modernization construction level of the large-scale irrigation districts under complex operating environments. Taking the Hetao Irrigation District as the research object, this study aims to determine the connotation and the key characteristics of the irrigation areas, according to the current requirements of the agricultural and rural modernization. The index system was established to evaluate the modernization, thus considering the water resources exploitation potential, agroclimatic particularities, socioeconomic development level, and actual conditions in the surrounding region. After that, 27 indicators were taken from the well-equipped, highly efficient water-saving, scientific management, and the ecologically sound aspects. Four grades were divided after assessment, according to the supporting construction and modernization of the large-scale irrigation areas. An improved entropy method was used to assess the weight of each index. The matter-element extension analysis was applied to evaluate the construction level of the modernization. The performance was obtained to compare the SPA–VFS coupling mode. The obstacle degree model was also introduced to identify the key obstacle factors on the modernization. The results show that the maximum correlation degree of the indicators was -0.191 between the modernization level and the grades. The modernization level was marked as Grade II, which was largely achieved the benchmarks. The modernization construction level was marked as the Level II using SPA-VFS coupled model. There was the better consistence with the matter-element extension suitable and feasible for the evaluation of modernization. The multi-indicator nature of the grading was tailored into the modernization level. The matter-element extension was much simpler computation than the SPA–VFS coupling model. The key obstacle factors were obtained to currently affect the modernization level, including the proportion of the high-efficiency water-saving areas, irrigation water use efficiency, irrigation water consumption per unit area, remote-monitoring coverage rate of the automated sluice gate, water consumption per 10000 yuan of the agricultural added value, proportion of the salinized area, drainage standard attainment rate in the irrigation areas, water-supply reliability in the irrigation. The approach can also provide a strong reference to evaluate the modernization level of the irrigation in the Yellow River middle reaches of the Inner Mongolia, Northwest China.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回